The prospects for wind power energy are very high for civilian enterprises to survive

China Dongfang Electric Group Co., Ltd., one of the largest power generation equipment manufacturers in China and one of the largest contractors of power station projects, has taken another new step in the field of wind power.

A few days ago, Dongfang Electric Hulunbeier New Energy Co., Ltd., which was invested by the group in Inner Mongolia, laid the foundation for the start of construction in Hulunbeier Economic Development Zone. It is reported that Dongfang Electric Hulunbeier New Energy Project includes wind turbines and their accessories assembly projects. The total investment of the project is 300 million yuan, and 400 (sets) of wind turbines and their accessories will be assembled. The project is planned to be put into operation at the end of 2011, and the annual industrial output value can be increased by 3.2 billion yuan.

However, according to industry insiders, only a bit of wind power resources in the country is basically divided up, and most of them are circulated by state-owned power companies. Private enterprises also have some, but the proportion is small. Because both wind power equipment manufacturing and wind farm construction require huge capital investment, state-owned power companies have a strong financing capacity with a good government background and form a virtuous circle. However, due to their own financial and technological deficiencies, private enterprises will face tremendous pressure in the face of competition in the future. Many private enterprises are currently in a very difficult situation.

The wind turbine market is fiercely competitive

According to the "China Wind Power Development Report 2010" published on October 13, 2009, the country's newly installed capacity of wind power is 13.8 million kilowatts, ranking first in the world, with the cumulative installed capacity ranking second in the world; in 2010, three new installations worldwide. One of the wind turbines is in China. According to the plan, by the end of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period, with the annual installed capacity of more than 10 million kilowatts, the installed capacity of wind power in China will reach 90 million to 110 million kilowatts. By 2020, the installed capacity of wind power in China will also reach 150 million kilowatts. According to an industry authority, it is predicted that by 2020, China's installed wind power capacity will exceed the current planned 150 million kilowatts, reaching 200-300 million kilowatts.

Analysts pointed out that although the wind power market is very spacious, there will be a large number of private wind power equipment companies out of this area in the coming period of time. Since 2008, the total price of wind power generators in kilowatts has declined at a rate of 1,000 yuan per year. The average profit rate of the industry is only 3% to 4%. With the further intensification of competition, those with no market, no technology and no capital advantages Without fan companies, the fate of being integrated will be inevitable. At the same time, according to the rules of the international industry, the cost of completing the recovery of a wind turbine motor is also four to seven years at the fastest, and it is estimated to be more than ten years in the country. Therefore, many companies will not exist until the cost has not been recovered.

Insiders pointed out that in the next two to three years, more than 80 existing domestic wind power equipment companies can survive at most 15, and most of them will be eliminated if they are not merged. At present, competition in terms of models and prices has become fierce. Especially in the recent half of this year, it has become crazy. Originally, profits have been very thin. Many private enterprises have no money, and they have to lose as little as possible to survive.

At present, the five major state-owned power groups in the country have basically invested in the field of wind power. State-owned enterprises that have not participated in the past have now begun to get involved. As a result, the living space of private wind power companies will be further squeezed.

Small business is far from the high threshold

In March of this year, the “Entry Standard for Wind Power Equipment Manufacturing Industry (Draft for Soliciting Opinions)” drafted by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the National Development and Reform Commission, and the National Energy Administration was issued. According to the Exposure Draft, the “Access Standard” mainly covers three aspects: The new wind turbine manufacturing enterprise must have the necessary production conditions and all production supporting facilities with a production capacity of 2.5 MW or more and an annual output of 1 million KW or more; The reconstruction and expansion shall have a cumulative installed capacity of not less than 500,000 kilowatts; the newly-built wind turbine manufacturer shall have more than 5 years of experience in the large-scale electromechanical industry.

At present, there are more than 80 domestic wind turbine manufacturers. Ma Xuelu, vice president of the China Wind Energy Association, said that the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's access standards for wind power equipment are relatively high. Judging from the current status of China's wind power plants, no more than 10 complete machine manufacturers can meet the above criteria.

It is understood that Goldwind, Huarui, and Dongqi are currently the three leading wind power equipment manufacturers, and these three companies have already accounted for more than half of the market share. According to the statistics from the China Wind Energy Association, as of the end of 2009, Sinovel's newly installed capacity was 3.495 million kilowatts, Goldwind's new installed capacity was 2.722 million kilowatts, Dongjiang's new installed capacity was 2.035 million kilowatts, and three companies totaled 8.252 million kilowatts. , accounting for 59.7% of the country's new markets. However, the maximum installed capacity of other manufacturers is less than 800,000 kilowatts.

Industry experts stated that the introduction of the “Entry Standard” will further aggravate the polarization trend of the domestic machine manufacturing companies. Stronger companies will be stronger and weaker companies will either be eliminated or merged.

It is understood that before 2005, there were only a few domestic wind power manufacturers, and they were small in scale and technologically backward. The construction of wind farms mainly relied on imports. However, with the encouragement of the “Wind power equipment localization rate of more than 70%, the wind farms that do not meet the requirements of equipment localization rate are not allowed to construct”, all regions competed for the wind power project, and China became the fastest growing wind power internationally. s country.

Although China has become the world's second largest country for wind power installations, Chinese companies still lack core technologies and lack of independent innovation capabilities. Currently, the key technologies used in wind power and solar energy are basically foreign. No matter whether it is quality standards, certification systems, or equipment manufacturing technologies, it is basically copied abroad. Most companies in China do not have core technologies and only act as an assembly plant.

At the end of August 2009, the wind power equipment manufacturing industry was oversupplied by the national production capacity. In October, it was included in the “blacklist” of the six major ministries with excess production capacity and redundant construction. In this context, it is no wonder that the country will set such a high threshold.

Wind power grid connection is still a bottleneck

Judging from the resource conditions, China's wind power is mainly concentrated in the western regions where basic industries are relatively weak and load is small. Large-scale transmission to the eastern regions with large power loads requires long-distance power transmission. This will not only increase the power grid investment, but also bring a huge impact on its safety.

Shao Bingren, deputy director of the National People's Political Consultative Conference's Population Environmental Resources Committee, recently stated that the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have proposed that the western region plan 7 million-kilowatt wind power plants during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period. These ideas are subjectively good, but may not be consistent. Objective development law. Due to the low utilization rate of new energy, we have to face such a problem: Is it because of large-scale centralized construction, long-distance transmission, small-scale decentralization, local digestion, or a combination of both?

Li Minghui, deputy general manager of Beijing Jingneng New Energy Co., Ltd., told the media: “In the first quarter of this year, we abandoned 300 million kWh of wind power, and the total generating capacity of wind power in China was only 500 million kWh.” Wind farms are restricted due to limited wind power. Suffered heavy losses.

Over the past year or so, with the increasing scale of wind power development in Inner Mongolia, Northeastern China, Gansu, and Hebei, wind power has become increasingly prominent in terms of access to power grids and power curtailment. Wind power grid-connected operation has become a further development of wind power. The biggest constraint.

"The problem with the development of wind power is that there is no overall development plan." Shi Pengfei, vice chairman of the Wind Energy Professional Committee of the Chinese Renewable Energy Society, said that due to the lack of plans for comprehensive consideration of wind power equipment manufacturing, wind farm production and operation, and wind power generation, it has resulted in Problems have arisen in the upstream and downstream convergence of the wind power industry. “Everything is done and each ends up flustering each other. The issue of wind power online is a typical example.”

In April of this year, officials from the National Energy Administration stated that it is necessary to conduct wind power development planning, market absorption, and transmission planning research in 11 provinces (regions) nationwide to strengthen the coordinated development of wind power development and power grids. Effectively solve the problems of transmission and market absorption of 90 million kilowatts in 2015 and 150 million kilowatts of wind power in 2020. This means that by 2020, it will still be the "high-speed development period" of China's wind power.

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